Presidential Election – Live Blog

12:26 – After a very long day, I’m exhuasted so its time for bed. Good night, and check back tomorrow for more election updates, including postings of the final results. Thank you for your support today.

11:30 – I was actually very moved my John McCain’s concession speech. He said what he needed to say and united the party, choosing his words very wisely. Onto Obama’s acceptance speech…

11:09 – Gonna go watch his acceptance speech. Thanks for visiting The Blender and check back later for more analysis.

11:03 – Obama is now projected to win Washington, Oregon, and California. Game over.

11:00 – OBAMA WINS VIRGINIA!

10:52 – Virginia and Florida still way too close, with Obama leading 51%-49% in both states with almost all (over 75%) precincts accounted for in each.

10:47 – “The fat lady hasn’t sung but she’s got her costume on.” Wow, I love CNN radio.

10:38 – Indiana, North Carolina, Virginia, Florida, Missouri are all insanely close, within 2 or 3 percentage points max. Because of this, even though polls have been closed for hours, no winner can be projected. If Obama wins California, he needs ONE MORE STATE to clinch.

10:25 – McCain has won Mississippi.

10:22 – John McCain has won Texas. Big deal. That’s like throwing a hail-mary pass when you’re down by 35 with a minute to go.

10:21 – McCain aides have been quoted as saying they see “no path to victory based on the results for tonight.” Sucks for him. Obama is virtually guaranteed to win California, so he just needs one more state.

10:08 – Obama has earned another vote from the state of Maine (they don’t have a winner-take-all system.) Eight more…

10:06 – CNN projects that Obama will win Iowa. His real magic number? 215. When he hits that it’ll be recognized by almost everyone that he has one, because he pretty much has California in his pocket.

9:56 – My newly updated predictions, click to enlarge:

9569:50 – OBAMA WINS NEW MEXICO! GAME OVER! (Not officially…)

9:44 – The race is pretty much over. California, Oregon, and Washington, which have a combined 73 electoral votes, are all very blue, meaning they will more than likely vote Obama. Though the results for these west coast states won’t come in until later, we know that if and when Obama wins then, he will be merely 3 electoral votes away from the magic number: 270.

If Obama wins just ONE of these remaining states: Nevada, Hawaii, New Mexico, Missouri, Iowa, Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, in addition to the three west coasters, it’ll be curtains for McCain. And those are all states where either Obama is projected to win, or in a very close race.

9:36 – Obama wins Ohio! Game, set, and match.

9:32 – Obama has leads )albeit small ones,) in Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida. This could get ugly.

9:24 – McCain won West Virginia.

9:14 – John McCain has won Georgia.

9:09 – So where do we stand right now? Obama has won Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Jersey, Maine, Delaware, Maryland, Washington DC, Illinois, Maine, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and New York, for a total of 174 electoral votes.

Meanwhile, McCain has won Kentucky, South Carolina, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Alabama, Wyoming, and North Dakota, for a total of 49 electoral votes.

If Obama wins four of the west coast states he should win (Washington, Oregon, California, and New Mexico), he’ll be just 14 electoral votes away from clinching the presidency. McCain cannot afford to lose Virginia, Florida, or Ohio, or else the election is pretty much going to be official.

9:02 – Rhode Island, Michigan, Wisoncsin, Minnesota, and New York will go for Obama and Wyoming and North Dakota will go for McCain.

9:00 – Alabama will go for John McCain.

8:58 – Most of the Midwest are closing polls in a few minutes, and some big states (New York, Texas, etc,) will officially be awarded (almost 100% likely to be Obama, McCain, respectively.) expect a bunch of announcements soon.

8:55 – Not too much is happening that I haven’t stated already, but Elizabeth Dole, the wife of former Republican presidential candidate Bob Dole, has lost her bid for election in North Carolina. Can that state swing over to Obama’s side? We’ll see…

8:42 – Obama wins Pennsylvania.

8:41 – 54%-46% for McCain in Virginia with 43% of precincts reporting.

8:31 – Obama wins New Hampshire.

8:25 – Arkansas’ polls close in five minutes. Woo-hoo!

8:22 – McCain is winning 56%-43% in Virginia, with 26% of precincts reporting.

8:19 – Obama has a 54%-46% lead in Florida, with 24% of the precincts reporting. McCain has a 52%-47% lead in Indiana, with 34% of the precincts reporting. Other states are still too close to call, and even these two are still too close.

8:12 – It’s still a bit early to make any more projections, but personally, I project CNN will show the crowd in Chicago (who have gathered in extremely large numbers in anticipation of an Obama victory,) at least 100 more times tonight.

8:05 – Obama has a big lead in Florida, which would be great for his chances. It’s still early though.

8:03 – Barack Obama is now projected to win Massachusetts, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, Washington DC, and Illinois. While McCain is projected to win Tennessee and Oklahoma. This is in addition to the previous projections.

7:58 – John McCain is projected to win South Carolina’s eight electoral votes, despite being down in the current polls.

7:55 – “If John McCain can’t carry Pennsylvania, he’ll have a tough challenge ahead of him.” – Wolf Blitzer. He is so right… if McCain loses it, he’ll need to perform extremely well in the other states, including Florida, where winning by 16 percentage points, 58-42, with 11% of precincts reporting. Please feel free to comment by the way.

7:53 – Polls are closing at 8:00 pm in 15 states, including battlegrounds Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Florida, and Missouri. We should get some detailed results soon.

7:30 – Polls closed in Ohio, West Virginia, and North Carolina. Not enough data is available to predict a winner in either of these states.

7:24 – Polls getting set to close in Ohio, West Virginia, and North Carolina. A projected win for Obama in Ohio would be devastating to McCain’s chances.

7:02 – Polls close in those six states. CNN projects Obama will win Vermont and McCain will win Kentucky (no surprise here.)

6:47 – A number of states, including Georgia, Kentucky, Virginia, South Carolina, Indiana, and Vermont, end polling at 7pm. Stay tuned. These results could be big…

6:45 – Check out the “pages” at the top of the blog for various election material.

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20 Responses to “Presidential Election – Live Blog”

  1. Jamie, i don’t think that 23 minute delays are acceptable in live posting. i listened to half a backstreet boy’s cd in that time. i’m sure most people wouldn’t even have come back to your blog. you’re lucky i really hate the second half of backstreet’s back. which is a lie because i really only hate one song but skipping over it was too tedious so i shut the whole thing off.

  2. why are the comments in another time zone?

  3. i wish you had a large map.
    wonkette has a large colorful map.

  4. john mccain won south carolina!

  5. i beat you to that.
    luckly i’m not depending on this blog for live information.

  6. but none of that last part makes sense because apparently i’m posting this one hour in the future.

  7. i just found your map and your actual updates.
    gosh jamie, your set-up is really lacking.

  8. that’s a lot of comments steph. i was having technical difficulties, but I’ll step it up.

  9. really jamie? you think you can predict which crowds they will show? you think you’re pretty big time eh?!

  10. people think “eh” is super canadian, but i’ve been to manitoba and i know for a fact it’s not eh, it’s “hey”

    i.e. : “this is a pretty annoying round of fire-commenting, hey?”

  11. doesn’t Arkansas just sound dumb? what an awful name. it sounds like a redneck inbred.

  12. that’s not racist at all…

  13. anyone could live in Arkansas. there can be smart people there … but you wouldn’t know it with such an awful sounding name.

  14. also, i think i have a problem with your font. it seems less bloggy, more term paper

  15. why is Kansas pronounced Kansas but Arkansas is pronounced “R-Can-Saw?” it doesn’t make any sense to me.

  16. ugh jamie i’m bored of this. i’m gonna go play guitar hero. i recently unlocked La Bamba!

  17. best of luck jamesicle. i admire your dedication.

    p.s. i was going to say jamesypooh but i didn’t want to embarrass you on your blog

  18. both of those are equally embarassing, but thank you steph for your dedication.

  19. It’s over!!!!! OBAMA WINS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  20. You suck for going to bed so early. Read my blog later, mmK?

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